live-rpi.com - Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - - Blog



Tweet Through games of Mar 13, 2016.

Alabama St.

Conference:SWAC
Expected RPI:265.0
Current RPI:265
Expected SOS:325
Current Record:12-17
Expected Record:12-17
Current Conf Record:9-10
Expected Conf Record:9-10
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:1-2
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:1-8
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:10-6
Current OOC Record:3-7
Expected OOC Record:3-7
Expected OOC RPI:166
Expected OOC SOS:110


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
12-1741.38%265.0100.00%

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Alabama St..
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-14Virginia Tech (89.0)ACCA82-85W100%0.0
11-16UAB (88.0)CUSAA72-70L0%0.0
11-19Mercer (194.0)SCA70-49L0%0.0
11-27Chattanooga (50.0)SCN95-58L0%0.0
11-28Chicago St. (348.0)WACN64-66W100%0.0
12-1Evansville (93.0)MVCA88-56L0%0.0
12-13Jacksonville St. (309.0)OVCA60-63W100%0.0
12-16Elon (160.0)CAAA91-74L0%0.0
12-20Coastal Carolina (164.0)BSthA68-65L0%0.0
12-22Winthrop (130.0)BSthA92-84L0%0.0
1-2Jackson St. (221.0)SWACA68-61L0%0.0
1-4Grambling St. (350.0)SWACA84-81L0%0.0
1-9Mississippi Valley St. (330.0)SWACH75-74W100%0.0
1-11Arkansas Pine Bluff (311.0)SWACH55-59L0%0.0
1-16Alabama A&M (332.0)SWACH75-80L0%0.0
1-23Southern (186.0)SWACA73-69L0%0.0
1-25Alcorn St. (253.0)SWACA77-72L0%0.0
1-30Texas Southern (190.0)SWACH72-75L0%0.0
2-1Prairie View A&M (334.0)SWACH83-77W100%0.0
2-6Mississippi Valley St. (330.0)SWACA62-73W100%0.0
2-8Arkansas Pine Bluff (311.0)SWACA75-70L0%0.0
2-13Alabama A&M (332.0)SWACA68-74W100%0.0
2-20Southern (186.0)SWACH77-68W100%0.0
2-22Alcorn St. (253.0)SWACH73-59W100%0.0
2-27Prairie View A&M (334.0)SWACA68-73W100%0.0
2-29Texas Southern (190.0)SWACA96-86L0%0.0
3-3Jackson St. (221.0)SWACH71-54W100%0.0
3-5Grambling St. (350.0)SWACH59-58W100%0.0
3-10Southern (186.0)SWACN83-63L0%0.0